Heading into Pipe Masters, let’s take a look at the top 10, by the numbers, to see who might move up and who’s likely to finish up as runner-up to the already crowned 9 time World Champ, Kelly Slater. The point total is based on the best 8 of 11 results from this year’s World Tour. Considering that an injury or an equal 33rd (last place) is equal to only 225 points, such a score would be a throw away score for any of these top 10 surfers. At 410 points, a 17th would also be be a throwaway score for all of the guys. Things start counting once we get to 9th place, which has a designated point value of 600 points.
1) Kelly Slater (USA) 8042
With a low score of 17th place being his lowest counting score, Kelly can easily up his points total to an even more ridiculously unattainable number with a 9th place or higher.
2) Bede Durbidge (AUS) 6780
Bede will be looking to improve on a 9th place finish, to maintain his second place standing.
3) Taj Burrow (AUS) 6324
More than 450 points behind Bede, Taj will have to finish a few places above Bede and likely win the event if he wants to end the year with a runner-up finish. He’ll have his work cut out for him, and will be looking to drop a 17th his lowest score.
4) Joel Parkinson (AUS) 6180
Joel needs to finish above Bede and Taj, and really hope that they go down early, if he wants any chance of securing the number 2 spot. He’s had an impressive run, with throw aways being a missed contest, a 33rd and a 9th. He’ll be looking to win the event or take second.
5) CJ Hobgood (USA) 5860
While technically in the running for runner-up, CJ would really have to count on winning the event and having the others be no-shows. His chances of this happening are practically non-existant. CJ can jump into the top 3 if Taj and Joel bomb out and he takes 1st or 2nd.
6) Adriano de Souza (BRA) 5748
Adriano has had a blockbuster year, showing the world how his talent has matured a bit with age. He was hoping for a world title or top 3, but he’ll have to settle for top 10, or possibly top 5, if he can pull out a strong finish in Hawaii. He’ll be looking to better a 9th place if he wants to move up.
7) Adrian Buchan (AUS) 5370
While jumping from 19th place in the rankings at the end of 2007 to 7th place in the rankings at the end of 2008 is a feat in itself, Ace Buchan is within striking distance of breaking into the top 5. He’ll be looking to better a 17th at Pipe. If he can place 1st or 2nd and those in front of him bow out early, he may just score himself a seat in the front 5.
Mick Fanning (AUS) 5310
The 2007 World Champ has had an uneven title campaign this year. He was unable to pull off a win this year, got two last place finishes and has sat out the last two contests with an injury. He can easily up his ranking a bit if he can finish strong in Hawaii. He only has to better a 33rd to jump up a notch if Ace fails to better a 17th. If he wins the event, he may find himself back where he belongs, in the top 5.
9) Bobby Martinez (USA) 5282
By all accounts, Bobby has had a great year. He’ll be looking to drop a 33rd (injury score), and with a 1st or 2nd in Hawaii, he may find himself in the top 5 (assuming that all his rivals fall early as well). Not an impossible task, since we all know Bobby excels in lefthand barrells. Look for more good things from Bobby in the years to come.
10) Jeremy Flores (FRA) 5214
While Jeremy’s chances of a top 5 finish are slim, he’ll be fighting to make sure he keeps in the top 10. He only has to better a 33rd to up his point total, but you can bet that Jeremy will come out swinging, with a big finish in Hawaii to hold on to his spot in the top 10.
Stay tuned for all the action as the kickoff day for the Pipeline Masters is exactly one month away. See you on December 8th!
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